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Council on Foreign Relations

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Botswana’s Pivotal Elections

By Michelle Gavin The next leadership of Botswana must look beyond political feuds, rebuild trust with its citizens, and deliver on its promises to maintain the country’s democratic and development progress. As the people of Botswana prepare for election day on October 30, they have real causes for concern. Unemployment is soaring. Polls show that citizens’ satisfaction […]

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Mozambique’s Election Set To Fuel Cynicism

Outsiders must do more than shrug at outright rigging and post-election violence. By Michelle Gavin It is customary to congratulate countries on recent elections, but it is hard to imagine that the people of Mozambique are breaking out the confetti. Their October 9 general elections started on an uneven playing field, and the process only went […]

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What Is The BRICS Group And Why Is It Expanding?

As BRICS grows in both membership and global sway, its expansion comes with divisions among its members old and new on how to set the stage for a revised world order. The countries that comprise BRICS—which stands for Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, and now five new members—are an informal grouping of emerging […]

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Fear And Loathing In The Sahel

Across the region, the promise of a better life under the military is fast turning into a nightmare. By Ebenezer Obadare In recent times, as the military knocked off one civilian regime after another across the Sahel, observers were disconcerted by the prospect of a region-wide capitulation to autocracy and the rapturous reception accorded the ascendant […]

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Kenyan Politics Fail To Meet The Moment

By Michelle Gavin The impeachment of Kenya’s deputy president is a sideshow distracting from the urgent issues before the country Kenya’s parliament has voted to impeach Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua in what many analysts are interpreting as a reassertion of control by President William Ruto, whose leadership has been muddled and indecisive in the wake of nationwide protests […]

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DRC-Rwanda Talks Underway, But Lasting Peace Remains Elusive

by Michelle Gavin The peacebuilding challenge in the Democratic Republic of Congo is daunting, to be sure. But the alternative is, and has been, a catastrophe. Peace talks between the governments of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Rwanda are scheduled to resume in Angola’s capital, Luanda, this week. The Angolan-led process has international support, but as Congolese […]

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The Unmaking Of An Elite

By Ebenezer Obadare The great tragedy of Nigerian tertiary education is the debasement of its professoriate. When, last month, the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU), the umbrella body of Nigerian university teachers, forwarded a formal twenty one-day strike notice to the Federal Government (FG), it raised the specter of further disruption to a tertiary education system that, […]

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Ruling Parties Gear Up For Coming Elections

By Michelle Gavin Despite a summer of protests, African leaders are doubling down on the status quo. The spring and summer of 2024 have given a number of African governments a case of the jitters. First, the African National Congress lost its parliamentary majority in South Africa, a result informed by popular dissatisfaction with the status […]

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The Forever Counterinsurgency

What if the Boko Haram insurgency in Nigeri­a is ‘programmed’ to continue in perpetuity? The latest victims of Boko Haram’s decades-long insurgency in and around northeastern Nigeria were killed this June in suicide bombings targeting a hospital, a funeral, and a wedding. The final toll was eighteen people dead and many more injured. Over the years, Nigeria […]

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A Sense Of Foreboding

Nigerians’ frustration with the Tinubu government threatens to spill over. Ali Ndume, a stalwart of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and, until last weekend, Chief Whip of the Nigerian Senate, is nobody’s idea of an opposition figure. Yet, as he fielded questions on “opposition” television station Arise News last week, one could have been […]

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